Stock Market Wealth

APOCALYPSE NOW. We Were Promised a COLLAPSE, Darn It!

by | Stock Market Wealth

Where Is the
“Back to the Stone Age” Depression?

Type the word “Recession” or “Collapse” or “Depression” into the search bar, or better yet, find interviews with commentators who told investors that the S&P 500 is headed to 2,000 points, the Dow Jones to 20,000 and the NASDAQ to the lows, and then look at where we are today and you’ll be left wondering — did the apocalypse choir really get it this wrong or were they just early to sound the alarm?

Three years ago, on March 23rd 2020, governments told the entire planet to stay put, go nowhere, remain indoors, lock down and quarantine, wear gloves and masks and prepare for the worst pandemic seen in 100 years.

March 20th 2020 was the bottom for the panic. On that date, the QQQ ETF hit 170 points. Today, the QQQ is over 300 points.

When asked about the markets in March 20th 2020, how many Wall Street hedge funds predicted that by May 29th 2020, the NASDAQ ETF would be back to February 14th levels, the day that the utter mad selling began?

The answer is NO ONE.

On May 29th 2020, I journaled the market commentary, because I knew we were living through historic moments and I wanted to capture the sentiment accurately.

When the NASDAQ hit an all-time high on May 20th 2020, CNBC were interviewing gurus who predicted we would be “testing the lows by August.”


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    The chart above asks you to believe and buy into the idea that 2023 is as bad as 2009.

    I remember 2009; do you?

    Every day, thousands of houses were auctioned off by banks. Unemployment rose to 15%, the government was in the news every day and every central banker in the country was thinking about how to get this country out of the hole.

    Today’s panic is a cocktail of the trauma of 2020 with the memories of past wars in Europe, but the fundamentals of this nightmare aren’t the same as past ones:

    • America’s housing sector has been put into a burning inferno and we’re still not hearing about crazy discounts, especially if the FED is now throttling back.
    • Unemployment in the United States is still very low. If a problem exists, it is too much demand for workers, compared with available talent.
    • The markets already priced in a recession long ago, since everyone thought that it would take much higher rates to cool inflation.


    The FED raised rates, as expected.

    On top of that, the FED issued what’s called the Economic Summary of Projections. In it, the governors discuss openly where they feel the economy is heading.

    They also said openly that they want to raise one more time in 2023 and lowered GDP projection to flat.

    The narrative has changed.

    It’s great for:

    A.     Housing.

    B.     Gold/silver.

    C.      Distressed businesses.

    The notion that we’re headed to Armageddon is proving overblown again. Sorry, apocalypse forecasters… it doesn’t look good for you.

    Best Regards,

    Lior Gantz

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