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BARREN AND LIFELESS: Markets Pummeled – RESCUE NEEDED!
What a brutal Monday it was. Seriously, this was one of those MEMORABLE days, but the question is, will investors now treat this as a snowball and just take it to the next level, repeating the December 2018 CLOBBERING?
The Dow Jones is even NEGATIVE for the year, which shows that industrial companies are punished the most.
Check this out:
As investors, we MUST be willing to ask ourselves (1) what holdings do we own that are fundamentally weak and could be permanently hurt by this coronavirus or by other REAL-WORLD events, (2) did we simply overpay on some occasions and SHOULD take action to fix it, and (3) are we competent and capable of trading in and out, timing this pullback/correction profitably?
For now, the markets look barren and lifeless, ready to be punched further down, but for the past 10 years, buying the dip was the right action to take.
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We need to be concerning ourselves with two additional questions, which are (A) does the global economy have the capability to jump the hurdle and make a comeback from the slump in manufacturing activity and (B) are there better VALUES to be capitalized upon either in less traditional indices or COMPLETELY outside of public markets?
Here’s what I mean by that; check this out:
The belief is that central banks are not going to let markets fall by much, AGAIN.
The bet is that removing tariffs, lowering the uncertainty around Brexit, and the diminishing possibility of impeachment will ULTIMATELY overwhelm the sellers and keep prices elevated.
There’s a real chance that the volatility in 2020 will not be that of years prior, if we are indeed emulating the 1999-2000 period.
Currently, markets are MIRRORING that trading pattern to the letter, though.
If that’s indeed what is occurring, then we are all in for a WILD RIDE, because unlike the Dot.Com bust, the FED can’t stimulate the economy by lowering rates by 5%, as it has done historically in every recession.
The AGGRESSIVENESS with which policy-makers will have to act is DISTURBING to me.
Market forces will probably not be allowed to play out, since the ramifications could be loss of equity TWICE as large as in 2008!
Governments Have Amassed ungodly Debt Piles and Have Promised Retirees Unreasonable Amounts of Entitlements, Not In Line with Income Tax Collections. The House of Cards Is Set To Be Worse than 2008! Rising Interest Rates Can Topple The Fiat Monetary Structure, Leaving Investors with Less Than Half of Their Equity Intact!
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