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The dominating trade of 2018, going forward, will be one that is, literally, the most hated in the world right now.
As I’m writing this, the COT report (Commitment of Traders) shows that futures traders are betting on higher interest rates with the greatest bullish certainty we’ve seen EVER. In other words, they are bearish on bonds prices.
In 2017, Wealth Research Group published a detailed analysis of the bonds market. In it, we showed you why higher interest rates are devastating to bonds prices (their face value goes down).
We were dead-on with this call. Bonds prices have performed horribly this year, as rates have gone higher, but they have now hit an extreme.
The crowd is just too packed, too confident, and too conventional in its view of the trajectory of interest rates.
As you know, the Federal Reserve is tightening monetary policy, which is creating an artificial demand for U.S. Dollars, and it has caused its price to rise this year. Couple this with the fact that the Treasury Department is treating lenders like royalty, paying the highest interest rates out of any of the super-nations. Germany, Japan, the EU block and others are just not in a position to offer such attractive interest rates, relatively speaking, compared with the U.S. ones, so King Dollar is enjoying its time in the sun.
Because the USD is strong, gold and silver have gone down hard in dollar terms. Marry this with the fact that, around the globe, President Trump’s policies are spreading uncertainty with regards to free trade. This is the reason that silver, as an industrial metal, is suffering even more than gold.
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The gold/silver ratio, which is an unbelievably reliable measure of extremes, has hit 84:1, which is another crucial piece of the puzzle.
It all ties into what Wealth Research Group published just a week ago, with regards to President Trump’s strategy to win the mid-term elections.
In the past few months, as Washington showed both allies and enemies that nothing is guaranteed in this world, foreign nations reacted by letting America know that they demand higher interest rates for the risk they are taking by holding bonds.
Now, Trump will release these global tensions by announcing a line of new trade agreements, dispelling much of the concerns.
Interest rates will head down, contrary to what EVERYONE believes, trade fears will subside, generating elevated economic activity, some inflation, and a lessened need to hold U.S. dollar reserves.
This is when stocks and commodities will begin to rally together, euphoria will prevail in the equities market, and we will finally be sure that the homestretch for this bull market is upon us – the “everything bubble” will be on full display.
Therefore, Wealth Research Group will be publishing a full report on a brand-new gold stock, one that we haven’t seen covered by any gold stocks expert yet.
It is completely under the radar, and we want to keep it that way – cheap and attractive.
This coming Sunday at 09:00 AM CST, we will release an in-depth report on this opportunity.
It is the ideal stock for this situation, since it can trade up, irrespective of gold price, which is why I am going to own it in my all-weather portfolio fund.