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It’s one of the most incredible anomalies in finance, unless you understand the rationale behind it. Still, after looking at all the variables, I can’t justify lending government money.
The argument is that because both REAL ESTATE and STOCKS are expensive, storing wealth in bonds is smart, since it allows full liquidity when the time comes for easy money to cease and for prices to drop sharply.
In other words, the argument is that bonds are the same as cash, since the yield is negligible. If you’re of the opinion that stocks and real estate will crash by 30%-40% when economic conditions tighten, then bonds make sense, on the face of it.
The truth is more complex than that, though. Fund managers can’t just tell clients that they are betting on a crash, so they’ll have billions of their money just laying around – and they’re putting it in bonds. That is a FATAL ERROR.
When interest rates rise, the price of these bonds will go down, along with stocks and real estate.
On the flipside, when interest rates started rising in December 2015, gold actually BOTTOMED and began climbing.
For the first time ever, the 30Y TIPs, the very tool that is supposed to HELP investors beat inflation, is yielding a NEGATIVE return.
You’re watching FINANCIAL LUNACY with your very eyes.
Not owning gold now is the same as not wearing a life jacket on the high seas.
93% Of Investors Generate Annual Returns, Which Barely Beat Inflation.
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The Fed unleashed $100 billion of repo liquidity and 50bps of rate cuts; this is an EMERGENCY mentality – a SPECIAL moment!
Today’s monetary policies will leave hundreds of millions of people STRANDED on a remote island, metaphorically speaking; it is destined to be the worst-ever monetary nightmare in human history.
The FED hasn’t cut rates this much since 2008!
In this country, unemployment rates are at all-time lows, real estate prices and stock market prices are near all-time highs, debt burdens on the consumer are at multi-decade lows, business confidence is at 25-yr highs and, DESPITE ALL OF THIS, Jerome Powell has taken definitive action and cut interest rates.
President Trump is pushing for even more.
His plan all along has been to make the Federal Reserve irrelevant, and you do that by taking them out of the game of adjusting interest rates.
By wiping interest rates altogether, as most other countries have done, you absorb more control and fiscal policies become far more important.
The Federal Reserve doesn’t live in a vacuum. Other central banks MUST follow its lead; I expect that the world over, others will be slashing.
The central banks have created EXCESS debt – this is the way I look at it. They overwhelmed the financial system with more easy money than was needed, and now borrowers sit there with funds that are hard to allocate in the right manner.
Current and future taxpayers will be the biggest victims. The free markets are today’s casualties; ideas which were once taboo in America are gaining popularity. The wealthy are blamed.
We’ve seen this before, and it ENDS BADLY for everyone!
Governments Have Amassed ungodly Debt Piles and Have Promised Retirees Unreasonable Amounts of Entitlements, Not In Line with Income Tax Collections. The House of Cards Is Set To Be Worse than 2008! Rising Interest Rates Can Topple The Fiat Monetary Structure, Leaving Investors with Less Than Half of Their Equity Intact!
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