Stock Market Wealth


by | Stock Market Wealth

Why did Wall Street LOVE the

FOMC Meeting?

Our travelling circus has taken to the road again and from London, England, we have reached Chamonix, France. This Alpine village at the foothills of Mont Blanc is gorgeous and I was extremely fortunate to find a chalet that is large enough not just to accommodate my party of six (couple, plus 3 children and my mother), but my wife’s brother family of six as well.

We had used a travel agent to book the itinerary of activities, because I wanted to really do the best of what the region has to offer.

A few days before arrival, she texted me with horrible weather forecast and started to mention how many outdoor activities we’d have to cancel… her level of certainty was super-high and I was frustrated to hear that, because the difference between a sunny week at the Alps and a rainy, cloudy and cold one is huge.

We make it to the Alps during summer every 2-3 years and we only get one week at a time, so weather plays a major role in the success of it… when you consider mountain biking, going up the cable cars and lifts, up the mountain for the scenic hikes or when you do mountain climbing or just have a beer and wine in town and want to bask in the sun.

The day we arrived, Google had symbols of rain, yet it was sunny, blue skies and I jumped in the pool and dunked my twin six-month old boys underwater for their first time.

While we waited on dinner, we enjoyed looking at the glaciers and the snowy peaks of the French Alps.

I am never ceased to be amazed by their instant effect on one’s mood; the serenity and silence that comes from being in nature, away from the big city, is hypnotizing.

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    I texted her about this disparity between forecast and the conditions on the ground and she replied that the cold front will start the next day.

    The following morning, with my mind busy with making sure the family sees as much as of the area as possible, before the storm arrives, we drove to an animal park with majestic views of the Mont Blanc and even the maintenance person from the chalet texted me that there will be crazy weather, effective that afternoon.

    It never came and neither was the following day any less perfect… sunny, blue skies and warm, as we rode bicycles through wooden trails.

    Mountain weather is so unpredictable and it’s best to treat any forecasts with a high degree of doubt.

    Jerome Powell needs to plan how to help the global economy, especially the U.S. one and his job is far more complicated than predicting what rain drops will do in a few hours.

    His job is next to impossible, but he does it anyway and yesterday, with his announcement of another 0.75% rate hike, he has taken the FED Funds Rate higher than it’s been at any point in the past 13 years.

    The markets cheered, not because of the 75bps increase, which was mostly expected, but thanks to Powell’s acknowledgement that the economy is slowing, but is nowhere near being in a classical recession…

    Powell is sure that he has found the formula for a soft landing… Let’s see how long this rosy outlook remains their base-case.

    Best Regards,

    Lior Gantz

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