Stock Market Wealth


by | Stock Market Wealth

Fate of the World

For most people, who go about living their lives glued to silly TikTok videos, the topic of Taiwan doesn’t even register. They don’t know or care to know about the power struggles and the full weight of what’s at stake between Washington and Beijing.

For you and me, though, we cherish these intellectual puzzles and nourish our minds by examining these complex problems.

Blissful ignorance is not an option for us… we care about the world around us and would rather collect the data and think for ourselves about the risks and ramifications than assume anyone in Washington D.C. or Beijing can do our thinking for us.

It doesn’t get any bigger or more intricate and delicate than the web of interconnected relationships of benefits and disadvantages of Taiwan’s crucial importance.

On Tuesday, I explained what the First Island Chain strategy was and how Taiwan’s location, right at the heart of the marine barriers – which prevent China’s naval empire from venturing out to the greater Pacific Ocean – is a monumental piece of the geopolitical power projection the U.S. currently holds over the PRC’s head.

Taiwan is a de-facto U.S. outpost in the ocean and controlling it helps America maintain that perimeter around China’s extensive shores.

But all that is just the tip of the iceberg, because while warships and nuclear submarines sound threatening and menacing, today’s wars are less about conquering territories and more about cyber security and intelligence.

Countries fight over preeminence in technological advancements, and it doesn’t get any bigger than Taiwan when it comes to that.

Taiwan’s population is less than half that of Ukraine, but it punches well above its weight. The GDP of this country is $780bn, compared with Ukraine’s $155bn, and while Europe complains that Ukraine’s fertilizer is missing from the global supply chains, we’d probably all be wearing CCP symbols and speaking Mandarin, if Taiwan ever became part of China again.

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    The reason is that while fertilizer is an important asset to export, Taiwan’s major export is the lifeblood of the 21st century. American semiconductors and chip manufacturers have ridden the wave of outsourcing for the past 30 years, and while they continued to spend billions on research, development and design of chips, they allowed a little-known company called TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) to build a handful of “fabs.” These are fabrication plants, the factories that create the 10 nanometer-sized advanced chips, which go into all advanced technological products for the civilian and military end-users.

    TSMC has virtually a monopoly on those with a 92% market share, and whoever controls Taiwan controls those 10 fabrication plants and thus has a chokehold over A.I. and all the world’s most important products.

    Somehow, the greedy Deep State operatives of the Military Industrial Complex failed to see how they could allow chip companies like Intel and NVidia to forfeit the process of strategically manufacturing the chips on their own home turf, and instead outsource it to an island located right next door to America’s greatest geopolitical opponent of the 21st century.

    Taiwan and the U.S. would rather self-destruct the fabrication plants than allow the Chinese to ever control them fully, and that’s why Ukraine doesn’t get American military support, but Taiwan certainly will.

    So, with that in mind, don’t lose sight of the topic of Taiwan, because it is the hub for the one thing everyone must get access to in the 21st century… ADVANCED CHIPS.

    P.S. In Switzerland, in the beautiful alpine village of Davos, the World Economic Forum is meeting right now and deciding on the future, without asking us; Ray Dalio had some very interesting things to say and I will cover them on Sunday!

    Best Regards,

    Lior Gantz

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