At the depths of the gold bear market, when gold companies were shutting down operations, turning off the lights, and handing in their office keys to the landlord, Keith Neumeyer was like a hunter during game season.
Along with his team of mining experts, they constructed a watch list of the best gold projects they’d love to get their hands on.
Investors were very cautious of supporting entrepreneurs in the resource sector and the consensus was that gold mining was dead.
In classic contrarian fashion, Keith Neumeyer, the CEO and founder of First Majestic Silver, the world’s purest silver company and one of the largest mining conglomerates listed on the New York Stock Exchange with a market cap of USD$4.5 billion, decided this was actually the ideal time to consolidate this watch-list of gold projects into one new company at liquidation-like prices.
The result was a company that had acquired a number of world-class gold projects in Canada!
I’ve rarely seen the setup that management of First Mining Gold (US: FFMGF) has been able to secure, so I am alerting you to this opportunity immediately!
One of the company’s tier-1 assets is the Goliath/Goldlund gold complex, which is being developed by their partner on the project, a company called Treasury Metals (US: TMRSF). First Mining (US: FFMGF & TSX: FF) received approximately 43 million shares, and approximately 11.7 million warrants, of Treasury Metals (TML), when they sold the Goldlund project to Treasury Metals.
First Mining Gold is one of the cheapest gold developers out there!
As you can see, First Mining’s valuation is discounted by 80% compared with the average gold developer and by 84% in comparison with advanced gold developers!
First Mining’s share price would actually need to rally by 400% just to be average!
This begs the question of what could cause a re-rating in the company’s market cap, and the answer is Springpole, one of the largest gold development projects in the world, which currently has an NPV of USD$995M, even though First Mining’s market cap is only USD$216M.
As you can see, recent mergers and acquisitions in the Canadian gold sector have been completed at anywhere between 0.6x and 0.9x NAV. If we are very conservative and assume that First Mining Gold receives its environmental assessment and advances the Springpole project to the point of having it “mining-ready,” with the NPV being USD$995M, the 0.6x calculation values it at USD$600M, which is 200% higher than First Mining’s share price today!
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If First Mining Gold (US: FFMGF) didn’t have USD$40M in cash and liquidity, if it didn’t have multiple assets and partnerships (Cameron, Pickle Crow, Hope Brook, and others), if it didn’t hold shares of Treasury Metals, Auteco Minerals, and Big Ridge Gold, and if it didn’t have a robust royalty portfolio and just had Springpole to its name, this would still imply that today’s market cap is 66% below the 0.6x NPV of Springpole alone!
In simple terms:
- Springpole’s implied value if listed for sale once getting it “mining-ready”: USD$600M.
- First Mining Gold’s current market cap: USD$216M.
- First Mining Gold’s current cash position: USD$40M.
- First Ming Gold’s partnership portfolio: USD$110M.
The company’s assets are priced below its peers and, on or around July 15, Keith Neumeyer-led First Mining Gold (US: FFMGF) will return value to First Mining’s shareholders by distributing shares and warrants of TML to shareholders, and if you hold your First Mining shares in a brokerage account, you will see the shares and warrants of TML in your account within a couple of days of the distribution. You don’t need to do anything else – you just need to own shares of First Mining as of July 14th (the expected record date for the distribution).
This is a special moment for the company!
In my view, it’s one of the most unique setups I’ve seen yet, and the numbers just scream deep value to me!
First Mining Gold Corp. (TSX: FF & US: FFMGF) is at a point in the company’s life where the de-risking process has resulted in value-creating advancements for the company; First Mining Gold’s portfolio of established gold resources in Canada remains a unique strategic asset, which few companies own and that will not change.
The mere fact that First Mining Gold (US: FFMGF) is fully funded to achieve key milestones, having just attracted significant institutional investors to the company in its latest CAD$28.75 million financing, is a testament to the sheer momentum created in the past year, as three key transactions have been inked on four of its six key gold projects: Springpole, Goldlund, Hope Brook and Pickle Crow.
The company’s initial strategy, when it was still private in 2014 and 2015, was constructed by founder Keith Neumeyer himself. It was all about buying the best gold properties available in the depths of the bear market in order to capitalize on the worst sentiment and the ideal distressed conditions which prevailed in those years.
The strategy proved itself, since among Springpole, Goldlund, Hope Brook and Pickle Crow, along with its other gold assets, the company has amassed an impressive asset portfolio of gold and silver resources for prices that are far lower than today’s!
Their cost for acquiring their gold projects was around $10/ounce equivalent, whereas today it takes companies around $100/ounce to pull off the same feat; what Neumeyer did is not replicable in 2021 — he took full advantage of the distressed market of 2015 and 2016 and acquired gold resources for 90% less than they cost today!
Springpole is such a big and unique project that it could be the company’s only asset and still potentially bring its valuation to far higher levels, yet First Mining Gold has other million-ounce gold projects and strategic positions.
The company’s additional gold properties include Pickle Crow, Cameron and Hope Brook, and the company also holds a very large equity position in Treasury Metals following the recent sale of the Goldlund gold project to Treasury Metals to create a multi-million ounce gold developer:
- Treasury Metals completed a PEA (Preliminary Economic Assessment) on a co-development scenario of the Goldlund and Goliath gold projects, which we believe is a major catalyst for potentially higher share prices!
The third asset that is rapidly getting de-risked is Pickle Crow, which is currently being drilled by Auteco Minerals and, again, is receiving little value, even though there’s a 45,000-meter drilling program underway at the high-grade gold project that has big potential.
Auteco Minerals is a very talented exploration team with a proven track record of finding high-grade gold in past producing gold camps. Their previous success is Bellevue Gold (BGL.AX), which Steve Parsons and Sam Brooks took from a $0.03 stock to $0.80 in 4 years by executing the same game plan in Western Australia.
Auteco has a market cap of over +$140M and their only asset is an earn-in deal on 80% of Pickle Crow, which reflects a value of +$30M just for First Mining Gold’s (US: FFMGF) 20% interest! In addition, First Mining Gold’s 20% interest is “carried” until a decision is made to mine the project – which means that First Mining Gold won’t incur any further dilution until the project is ready to be built.
I love the diversified portfolio that First Mining Gold has, and the fact that the company has over CAD$39 million in cash and no debt, with clear catalysts on the horizon; all of that in addition to the nearly US$1 billion NPV for the Springpole project, one of the largest undeveloped gold projects in North America.
The company’s other gold projects – Cameron, Hope Brook and its properties in Québec – all have the potential to be de-risked and surface value as has been demonstrated by the Management team on its Pickle Crow, Hope Brook and Goldlund projects.
The four analysts who cover First Mining Gold, who have given the stock 12-month targets of CAD$1.00, CAD$1.20, CAD$1.40 and CAD$1.50, go into further details on the geology of First Mining Gold’s projects.
This company is up 158% since its March 2020 lows, yet its price is still more than 50% below its most conservative analyst price target! The first thing to notice is that four separate institutional analysts have given the company price targets of CAD$1.00, CAD$1.20, CAD$1.40 and CAD$1.50, which represent between 100% and 200% upside potential in the next 12 months alone!
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The Company’s publications often pertain to gold and mining stocks, which discuss a direct relationship between the price of gold or silver and the stock price of a gold or silver mining stock. We discuss with respect to various issuers that there is a relationship between the price of gold or silver to the stock price of a gold or silver mining stock, i.e. that the higher the price of gold or silver, the higher the price of the stock. You should use extreme caution in adopting any such conclusions, because such statements do not account for any of the following factors:
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On June seventh twenty twenty one, sixth twenty twenty, in connection with our agreement with First Mining Gold, Future Money Trends LLC received four hundred thousand dollars from First Mining Gold. In June of twenty eighteen, Future Money Trends LLC received four hundred thousand options to purchase First Mining Gold at eighty five cents. Wallace Hill Partners LTD (Owned by Future Money Trends LLC members) owns warrants of First Mining Gold, purchased through private placements. We have been previously compensated for agreements with First Mining Gold that have since expired.