Five floors below me in the building lives Israel’s only Formula 2 driver. A few months ago, while I was training at our gym, he showed up as well. I didn’t know who he was, but he started running on that treadmill like Julia Roberts in “Conspiracy Theory.”
We don’t have many 28-year-olds in the building, so I said hello and a friendship developed (I’m 38, soon-to-be 39 in July). He invited me over to lap on his simulator and I stayed there for a couple of hours, improving my lap time.
A few weeks ago, he asked if I wanted to meet the guy that custom-built the simulator, since he was fixing something over at the apartment and he explained that he was also a driving coach.
When I called to inquire about my course options with him on the simulator, he surprised me by telling me that most of the clients are top-level CEOs and businessmen, who use racing as a catalyst for developing their life skills.
Driving at the highest levels is the science of perfecting certain skills and the art of adjusting other ones to your personal style of operating and personality.
Essentially, it is the same as investing – certain skills must be mastered and others require “touch” and inspiration.
Yesterday was my first lesson and some of the first words out of his mouth were “the best drivers live in the future.”
No truer words have ever been spoken, when it comes to sentiment and market consensus either.
The future is all that counts and when the entire world is not looking at the next curve or the next turn and are obsessed with incoming data, which only reflects the past, then debating the “HARD” or “SOFT” landing discussion only proves one thing: that the likely outcome is no landing at all.
We live in a period that the Federal Reserve does anything it can to telegraph, ahead of time, anything and everything that it has on its mind.
For each voting member, we know exactly what he is thinking about, get to ask him questions and see him getting interviewed.
The FED is an open book!
Jerome Powell told Americans to wait with purchasing homes, and look at the market action since:
Courtesy: Zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
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The housing market, which is arguably the most interest-rate-sensitive, is already in a deep recession, but the smart money couldn’t be bothered with calling a bottom.
When I speak with fund managers and investors, they’re all so gun-shy.
Am I to believe that their analysis of the future is accurate, when the reasons they point out all revolve current data, which reflects the past?
In my lesson on Wednesday, what the coach and I worked on was braking exactly on the line that was marked on the floor.
Most people see the approaching line in the windshield, and that’s their cue to press on the brake. If you do that, you’ll stop well before the line and enter the corner wrong, resulting in precious loss of time in a race, where world-class drivers are fighting over mere milliseconds.
I’m not asking that you take my word for it; I ask that you look into the possibility that adjustments have been made and that layoffs have been authorized and that housing has slowed, yet we still have record-low unemployment.
Don’t put all of your chips on the hard landing or soft landing, because if you do, your portfolio won’t be up 14.8%, like ours is in 2023 already.
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