Stock Market Wealth

Hedge Funds SUPER-BEARISH: I’m Loading The BOAT!

by | Stock Market Wealth

I’m on Margin

I’m as close to being on margin as I’ve been since the FED’s parachute rescue plan in April 2020, when I buried every dime I had in stocks, since the FED mandated me to make a fortune.

I’m shocked that so many smart people can stand here and dream up such wild theories about rising rates.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, the world’s most important asset class, is already a steal of a deal, a free-money option for bond traders, when compared against the other Western governments and their debt issuance, which is at 0% or worse.

In the short-term, this selloff in Treasury bonds can send yields of the 10-year coupon to 2.00% and even 2.25% – if Powell’s testimony later today is scandalous. Apart from that, the clear contrarian move is to take the other side of the coin and bet on rates topping off.

Everybody else is talking about tightening, tapering, contracting, slowing down, going into a recession, beginning a bear market or repeating the bust, but the clear and overwhelming data is so far from that scenario that it’s laughable.


How can anyone even be talking about a bubble, when hedge fund positioning is so light that you’d think WW3 had begun?

The only bubbles most people are in are thought bubbles.

I hate to say it, but in the past two years, I’ve realized just how much people want to be part of thought tribes and will not entertain any common sense that goes against what is outside of their echo chambers.

The type of ridiculous claims and “irrefutable facts” that aren’t even based-opinions, let alone cold, hard data, yet are being shared and disseminated on social media, are the real pandemic.

One such bogus claim is that interest rates are headed to 1970’s-style highs and that the FED is trapped; this has no merit and I would say that your time is best served contemplating the facts:

  1. In the six times that the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates since 1971 (end of the gold standard), gold prices have risen in 100% of cases. 
  2. The average appreciation in price has been 30%, which implies that gold is highly likely headed to $2,350. 
  3. The FED Funds Rate can rise because of announced hikes, and bond yields do nothing, because the FED has been behind the curve; that has happened many times in the past and this is where I believe we are now.

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    Everybody else you know has thrown in the towel on all rate-sensitive assets, such as gold and high-growth tech stocks, so the obvious contrarian move, backed by data, is to go LONG.

    Personally, I expect gold to perform better than stocks in Q1, until we reach earnings season and until the FED actually hikes on March 15th.

    This is one of the best times to be BUYING, because the market is overreacting on interest rates, and I think they will soon peak (the selloff has already been brutal):


    If you have not read our Sunday publication, where I shared my top-10 ideas, I repeat them here:

    P.S. Those of you who are really paying attention will notice only nine, and that’s because I plan to officially announce the 10th, which is a really special one, later this month!

    BigCommerce Holdings (BIGC): Between $30 and $32 per share offers 50%-100% potential upside in the next 12 months, in my opinion.

    Corsair Gaming (CRSR): Between $20 and $22 per share offers 40%-60% potential upside in the next 12 months, in my opinion.

    Enphase Energy (ENPH): Between $125 and $140 per share offers 50%-70% potential upside in the next 12 months, in my opinion.

    The Honest Company (HNST): Between $7 and $9 per share offers 10%-150% potential upside in the next 12 months, in my opinion.

    SoFi Technologies (SOFI): Between $12 and $14 per share offers 50%-75% potential upside in the next 12 months, in my opinion.

    Wynn Resorts (WYNN): Between $80 and $85 per share offers 50%-100% potential upside in the next 12 months, in my opinion.

    Affirm Holdings (AFRM): Between $70 and $80 per share offers 50%-80% potential upside in the next 12 months, in my opinion.

    Teladoc (TDOC): Between $75 and $85 per share offers 50%-100% potential upside in the next 12 months, in my opinion.

    CloudFlare (NET): Between $95 and $105 per share offers 50%-60% potential upside in the next 12 months, in my opinion.

    Best Regards,

    Lior Gantz

    Governments Have Amassed ungodly Debt Piles and Have Promised Retirees Unreasonable Amounts of Entitlements, Not In Line with Income Tax Collections. The House of Cards Is Set To Be Worse than 2008! Rising Interest Rates Can Topple The Fiat Monetary Structure, Leaving Investors with Less Than Half of Their Equity Intact!

    Protect Yourself Now, By Building A Fully-Hedged Financial Fortress!

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