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OIL GENOCIDE: Supersonic Defaults – JUNGLE RULES APPLY!
Just a few days ago, I was talking with a number of VETERAN investors, and 90% of the conversation revolved around what INSTRUMENT is best to go LONG on oil.
It’s not just these fellas. My friends, who manage money professionally, are showing me the text messages that they’re getting from peers, colleagues and family members, all singing the same tune: how can we CAPITALIZE on low oil prices?
Never have I seen the public GOING BESERK on any trade successfully. In other words, there are just TOO MANY bulls and that means the price can still FALL (and it is).
Every week, more retail investors are betting that these UNECONOMICAL oil prices are going away, but the problem is that they can get MUCH LOWER before they finally turn around.
Clothing companies, for example, can close the factory during the virus. Fabric machines are easy to operate. Around the world, $2/hour workers make most of our cotton products. Shoes, furniture, TV sets, toys and most other mass-produced items are SIMPLE TO CREATE – but not oil.
This one REQUIRES professional and SPECIALIZED personnel. You can’t just shut these babies down and come back to them, as supply and demand EQUALIZE.
Most oil-producing countries and the MAJORITY of publicly-traded companies will continue to produce AT A LOSS.
The problems don’t stop with just oil. The global economy has NEVER been shut down before, which means it has never been RE-OPENED. Therefore, no one knows what sort of changes await as the world RETURNS TO NORMAL, or the new normal.
93% Of Investors Generate Annual Returns, Which Barely Beat Inflation.
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As you can see above, the S&P 500 companies are removing guidance, ONE BY ONE, in light of the Covid-19 pandemic, and the reliance of FAANG stocks is a RISKY PROPOSITION for passive-indexing.
The breadth of the market is a PHENOMENAL indicator of its health. What we don’t want to see is the index RISING due to only a FEW DOZEN companies that are gaining in price – in other words, higher overall prices in the face of a PREVAILING negative price action.
If you were CEO of a company with 500 employees and you had five superstar workers (FANNG), while the rest were troubled people with personality or addiction issues, (debt, shut down sectors), would you consider your company to be healthy? This is a metaphor of the health of the market.
This is what the S&P 500 looks like today – a few MAGNIFICENT businesses and many that are not going anywhere.
Crisis forces one to RE-EVALUATE his life. Starting from his CORE BELIEFS, he applies the habits that guide him and his COMMITMENT to having a better life for himself, by RELENTLESSLY pursuing the improvement of the lives of everyone around him.
Something that I’ve found to be MOST USEFUL to me is to split my mind between GIVING THANKS for the blessings I’ve received and the ones that I will receive (envisioning the completion of my goals), with focusing on how to make everything around me FEEL and BE better.
It’s like an inner voice, which constantly says that if you want MORE FOR YOURSELF, figure out how others can HAVE MORE as well.
Think of your own household, your friends, colleagues, co-workers, clients and employers, if you have them. GIVE THEM MORE!
The markets have gone up NON-STOP since the MARCH LOWS, so profit-taking will occur very soon.
Governments Have Amassed ungodly Debt Piles and Have Promised Retirees Unreasonable Amounts of Entitlements, Not In Line with Income Tax Collections. The House of Cards Is Set To Be Worse than 2008! Rising Interest Rates Can Topple The Fiat Monetary Structure, Leaving Investors with Less Than Half of Their Equity Intact!
Protect Yourself Now, By Building A Fully-Hedged Financial Fortress!
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