Don’t Make Any Sudden Moves
Our world is in a state of immense de-globalization and, for the first time in human history, because of the vast amount of exposure to social media outlets and broadcasts, in general, we are able to see the INNUMERABLE AMOUNT of people out there and their vastly different opinions, hobbies, traditions, values and ideals.
We’ve never been exposed to so much at such a rapid pace, and it is becoming difficult to prioritize the important and essential from the random and fleeting.
In the Arctic Circle, for example, live the Arctic bumblebees. They provide a critical service to humans in the summertime, and because they originally come from the foothills of the Himalayas, they are able to cope with the very low temperatures of this geography and still fly above fields of snow and pollinate. This plays a vital role in the food chain and the growth of crops.
Without bees, said Einstein, the human race is screwed.
Bees can’t debate on whether or not the changing weather patterns are natural and have to do with the sun and the cycles of the solar systems or because of our industrial plants.
Bees must adapt to the drastic and weird ways in which the landscape is reshaping around them.
The bees can’t sit on Twitter and complain about the world going to hell, or about how Jerome Powell is late to react, or on how the West misread Putin, or on how Europe got stranded without energy sources; the bees get to work and EVOLVE, because they have one focus and, by default, they also help humans with pollination.
It’s a good thing that bees don’t get distracted or SPECULATE on what the weather will be like; they act and react, without delay.
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We should learn from that… instead of theorizing that the FED is about to U-turn and cut rates to zero. Even as Powell explicitly said he wouldn’t, we expressed our conviction that investors SHOULD ACCEPT that the end of zero interest rate policies is upon us.
We said that in January and completely changed the way we behave in the market.
The world is de-globalizing, which means that the large multinational conglomerates will be victims and the new darlings will be SMALL-CAP value companies – those that actually create net income and a profit, not just grow.
When we look at Trump’s announcement of a new presidential campaign and the missile strike on Poland, we see that pretending everything is just like it was in the previous decade, financially, economically and politically, would be naïve.
To me, burying my head in the sand is not an option.
In a reset, you must take action and make drastic decisions or, like the insect community (a third of which is endangered), FACE EXTINCTION.
So, what does that mean, in actuality?
For one, it means that any business that, as of now, in hindsight, was purchased for a price that doesn’t justify its growth profile, considering today’s interest rate environment, will be sold.
Waiting for a comeback, using hope as the financial plan, isn’t a good strategy.
Interest rates have created a reset in equities, and we must adapt or perish.
Governments Have Amassed ungodly Debt Piles and Have Promised Retirees Unreasonable Amounts of Entitlements, Not In Line with Income Tax Collections. The House of Cards Is Set To Be Worse than 2008! Rising Interest Rates Can Topple The Fiat Monetary Structure, Leaving Investors with Less Than Half of Their Equity Intact!
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