One thing you can be sure of is that WHEN the positive triggers, impacting the rally performance of both the USD index against other major currencies and precious metals, and the performance of U.S. stocks against bonds, will be finally exhausted and worn-out, the bounce in prices, which will be exhibited by gold, silver, and several other key commodities, will be magnificent.
The world markets are now in uncharted territory. The U.S. and much of the world are emerging from a period of historically low interest rates: zero and even negative interest rate policies were in full effect during this time. Now, however, normalization is under way; the fed funds rate is approaching 1.75 to 2 percent, and the U.S. 10-year T-note yield is close to 3 percent.
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Every investor dreams of picking the big movers before they take off – the next Amazon, Intel, or Netflix. The surest way to fail at this is to buy after everybody else has loaded up on a stock; the surest way to succeed is by conducting deep research, analyzing the data, and waiting patiently until a rare opportunity presents itself.
From the way the talking heads on television are framing it, you’d think gold and silver will never recover from their current doldrums. Undoubtedly there’s been price pressure, along with a likely dose of “intervention” from the government and big banks. But is this a secular bear market really, and can we expect precious metals to come up for air anytime soon?