End of August Market Briefing
I love living in the big city. My apartment is located on the 9th floor of a high-rise, situated in a family-oriented part of the city filled with parents with little children, fewer storefronts, and more public parks, green areas, and it’s just ten minutes from the beach.
From my place, I can cycle to the beach, parks, coffee shops, stores, and fitness center, as well as take my daughter to her preschool, which is a 30-second walk away.
One of my favorite places to go is but a few minutes away. It’s an area that has three bakeries and three coffee shops right next to each other. They’re back-to-back-to-back, and they’re all good!
The middle one, though, has insane lines, even though the difference between it and the other one that I frequent more often is negligible.
Every time I come and see the 20-minute line outside the second bakery in the row, which is smaller and actually has less of a selection and fewer seats, I’m astounded. Since its branding is better and it appeals to a younger crowd, it gets way more patrons that, I presume, have not even tried the baked goods, sandwiches, and pastries of the one that I prefer.
I always tell my wife and the owner of the coffee shop that I’m a regular of that it’s a travesty and a tragedy to see people’s unwillingness to deviate from their fixed habits and try the other spot, especially since I guarantee they’ll appreciate the value of the shorter lines and the quality of the product.
Yesterday, when my wife and I were there, I told her that this type of mentality also exists in the stock market, so I’m not surprised to see it.
For years, I stayed away from certain groups of equities without attempting to understand or evaluate them. Even funnier, I thought the other guy was a fool for investing in them.
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Luckily, a friend of mine who is now my hedge fund manager that invests a portion of my net worth finally opened my eyes.
There are investment bubbles, and then there are misunderstood, disregarded, and ignored sectors!
Think about the billionaires who have flipped and completely changed their perspective on Bitcoin, for example. Think about the many who have failed to understand how companies like Tesla or Amazon can sustain such market caps, yet they’ve made fortunes for their investors over the years.
My point is that making collective and comprehensive claims about one sector or another without doing the homework on it is utterly mad.
One of the most interesting aspects of today’s world is that most have not realized how much it has truly changed in the past 18 months. They refuse to think about all the various ways in which it has changed, from globalization to money supply and government stimulus to inflation, so they aren’t quick to pivot now when it’s the most lucrative time to do so.
As you can see, in this new world, even now, after the markets have roared back, the PEG ratios, which are the premium we pay for future growth, are as low as they’ve been in the depths of the 2008 financial crisis.
If one chooses to ignore this fact, they’ll keep telling their friends that they are waiting for “the big crash” before putting money into stocks, but they can also look at this chart and understand that the markets are already pricing in every sort of calamity there is.
I’m buying stocks, and I don’t think that I will regret it.
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