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VIRUS BLACKOUT: Markets Repeating GREAT DEPRESSION 1929!
Covid-19 is the most important news item and will remain as such for weeks, perhaps months.
What we know is that it isn’t deadly to most people. In other words, the mortality rate is small and that’s a positive. Most infected individuals recover and show no sign of any symptoms afterwards. The most significant known negative is, of course, that it keeps spreading without any vaccine or cure, for now.
In terms of the demographic group most vulnerable, we see that older people (50 and above) are more PRONE to getting really sick. If they also happen to have weak immune systems, or conditions such as diabetes or heart disease, the mortality rate rises SHARPLY.
Nonetheless, because of the precautions taken, China’s economy has been DEAD for weeks. On the flip side, some analysts predict 15% growth for the next quarter. Their economy is contracting, and since it produces, for example, 80% of the world’s air conditioners and 58% of the world’s shoes, the notion of shortages and supply chain disruptions are REAL and could become an issue.
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What I know is that worker’s rights are a joke in China, so once this blows over, the government will keep factories open 24/7 – enforcing double and triple shifts – to drum up the supply back to desired levels.
2020 will be outrageously volatile, swinging from euphoria to the depths of despair, so BE PREPARED.
Courtesy: Zerohedge.com
We had to wait for 91 years to see a repeat of the GREAT DEPRESSION market shock, but it’s here. In six days, markets went from RECORD to CORRECTION; this has only occured in 1929. We live in a world of swift trading done by algorithms, so we should expect more of these. In fact, December 2018 was double the size of this present correction.
My point is that in a world with no alternatives, stocks can go from loved to hated in days. Just one week ago, stocks were at all-time highs and gold at 7-yr highs.
Personally, I am looking at shares of Starbucks (SBUX) under $75.00, Cisco (CSCO) under $37.00 and Citigroup (C) under $61.00.
My watchlist consists of several other stocks, which I’ll go through on Sunday.
Courtesy: Zerohedge.com
It took seven years for investors of the 1928-1932 era to break even. It finally happened towards 1940. Stocks, in general, continue to grow larger and more valuable with time – don’t get discouraged.
The trick of investing has to do much more with (A) how you’re diversified, (B) how you handle panics, (C) how you position in speculative bets {proper size of allocations and sticking with stop-loss discipline} and (D) how you keep GROWING, personally, networking and with a thirst for knowledge.
In March, the Federal Reserve might SHOCK with a 0.50% rate cut. The markets believe it’s possible.
Bond investors are famous for being right most of the time.
Gold is a MUST-OWN category and, if this is a repeat of 1929 or 2008, gold stocks will go STRAIGHT UP!
Governments Have Amassed ungodly Debt Piles and Have Promised Retirees Unreasonable Amounts of Entitlements, Not In Line with Income Tax Collections. The House of Cards Is Set To Be Worse than 2008! Rising Interest Rates Can Topple The Fiat Monetary Structure, Leaving Investors with Less Than Half of Their Equity Intact!
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